Who is Winning When?

For those who play blackjack fairly often, for those who have researched blackjack, studied blackjack, they know the odds. They know that blackjack games start with a house edge of 2% to 5%. These studied blackjack players know that they can reduce the house edge to 0.5% just by playing perfect basic strategy.

Unfortunately 0.5% is the best odds an online blackjack player can be after. For blackjack players who play in brick and mortar casinos, they can employ their skills at card counting, and even out the odds or even tilt the odds in their favor.

But what do odds tell you about winning? They tell you the chances of you winning, but those odds apply to each and every hand. They do not tell you on average how often you could win at blackjack. And the well informed player should know how often they could win.

On average a player will only win 44% of the time while the dealer will win around 48% of the time. Those percentages apply to blackjack game when basic strategy is applied. But either the player winning or the dealer winning only accounts for 92% of games. The other 8% goes into pushes. Meaning that 8% the dealer and the player will have a push.

Of the average 44% of games that the player will win, 5% of those games will be won with a natural blackjack. Interestingly enough, the dealer’s natural blackjack account for 5% of their 48% of won games.

Do not be deceived by this. While the player and dealer will each win 5% of the time with blackjacks, do not assume that is the same number of blackjack. These are percentages, and 5% of 48% is larger than 5% of 4%. In short the dealer will have slightly more blackjacks than the player.

In the end, the average basic strategy playing blackjack player can expect to win an average of 44% of the time with 5%of those wins coming from natural blackjacks. And considering that this is a result of using basic strategy, these are the best odds on casino games, especially online casino games.

In short, online blackjack would be my game of choice. And if I were playing in a brick and mortar casino, I would be playing blackjack there too.